The #1 Thing Worrying Hedge Fund Managers Right Now

21-Jul-2013

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An eternal optimist, Liu-Yue built two social enterprises to help make the world a better place. Liu-Yue co-founded Oxstones Investment Club a searchable content platform and business tools for knowledge sharing and financial education. Oxstones.com also provides investors with direct access to U.S. commercial real estate opportunities and other alternative investments. In addition, Liu-Yue also co-founded Cute Brands a cause-oriented character brand management and brand licensing company that creates social awareness on global issues and societal challenges through character creations. Prior to his entrepreneurial endeavors, Liu-Yue worked as an Executive Associate at M&T Bank in the Structured Real Estate Finance Group where he worked with senior management on multiple bank-wide risk management projects. He also had a dual role as a commercial banker advising UHNWIs and family offices on investments, credit, and banking needs while focused on residential CRE, infrastructure development, and affordable housing projects. Prior to M&T, he held a number of positions in Latin American equities and bonds investment groups at SBC Warburg Dillon Read (Swiss Bank), OFFITBANK (the wealth management division of Wachovia Bank), and in small cap equities at Steinberg Priest Capital Management (family office). Liu-Yue has an MBA specializing in investment management and strategy from Georgetown University and a Bachelor of Science in Finance and Marketing from Stern School of Business at NYU. He also completed graduate studies in international management at the University of Oxford, Trinity College.







By Matthew Boesler, From SF Gate,

BofA Merrill Lynch just released the results of its July Fund Manager Survey, which polls 238 fundies around the world responsible for a combined $643 billion in assets under management on various topics.

One of the most striking results of the survey is how investor perceptions toward China can completely turn on a dime.

“China is the biggest area of concern for investors,” says BAML Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett. “[The] number of investors expecting stronger China growth collapsed to a net -65%, a massive reversal from 67% in December 2012.”

All it takes is two quarters of slowing economic growth, and sentiment among fund managers toward China is now at the lowest level since January 2009, during the height of the global financial crisis.

China growth expectations

Meanwhile, fears of a hard landing for the Chinese economy now far and away eclipse anything else as the largest perceived outlier risk to investor portfolios among managers.

The percentage of survey respondents that view China as the biggest tail risk nearly doubled just from June to July.

“Investors continue to view a China hard landing and commodity collapse (56%) as the biggest tail risk,” says Hartnett. “In fact, they view [emerging markets] as the greatest potential threat to Financial Market Stability.”

BAML fund manager survey tail risks


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