Jeff Gundlach Looks At This Chart When He Gets Up Every Morning

22-Jan-2014

I like this.

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By Sam Ro, Business Insider,

DoubleLine Funds’ Jeff Gundlach hosted a pretty interesting webcast about the markets on Tuesday afternoon.

As he laid out his forecasts for 2014, he presented a ton of eye-opening charts including this one, which he says he looks at literally every morning.

It compares the US dollar / emerging market currency exchange rate to the yield on the 10-year Treasury note.

Gundlach noted that there was a remarkably tight correlation between the two measures with the currency cross acting as a slight leading indicator of the 10-year yield. And the 10-year yield is benchmark for basically the entire bond market.

Given the recent movements in the currencies, Gundlach says this chart confirms his expectation that the 10-year yield is likely to move lower in the near-term.

During his webcast, Gundlach said the 10-year yield could fall to as low as 2.5%.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/gundlach-looks-at-this-chart-every-morning-2014-1#ixzz2qtovDAxJ

 


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