Are Political Suicides Needed to Save Greater Europe?

06-Sep-2011

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An eternal optimist, Liu-Yue built two social enterprises to help make the world a better place. Liu-Yue co-founded Oxstones Investment Club a searchable content platform and business tools for knowledge sharing and financial education. Oxstones.com also provides investors with direct access to U.S. commercial real estate opportunities and other alternative investments. In addition, Liu-Yue also co-founded Cute Brands a cause-oriented character brand management and brand licensing company that creates social awareness on global issues and societal challenges through character creations. Prior to his entrepreneurial endeavors, Liu-Yue worked as an Executive Associate at M&T Bank in the Structured Real Estate Finance Group where he worked with senior management on multiple bank-wide risk management projects. He also had a dual role as a commercial banker advising UHNWIs and family offices on investments, credit, and banking needs while focused on residential CRE, infrastructure development, and affordable housing projects. Prior to M&T, he held a number of positions in Latin American equities and bonds investment groups at SBC Warburg Dillon Read (Swiss Bank), OFFITBANK (the wealth management division of Wachovia Bank), and in small cap equities at Steinberg Priest Capital Management (family office). Liu-Yue has an MBA specializing in investment management and strategy from Georgetown University and a Bachelor of Science in Finance and Marketing from Stern School of Business at NYU. He also completed graduate studies in international management at the University of Oxford, Trinity College.







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Greek tragedy strikes again. European and Greek leaders are at each other’s throats about Greece being on the dole. Again. And that’s got investors all in a tizzy about holding onto Greek debt. Again. So where does this leave the ominous eurozone crisis, which appears to have no end?

Here’s the gist of the problem. The “troika” in charge of Greece’s fate (the European Union, the International Monetary Fund, and the European Central Bank) doesn’t think the austerity measures Greece has in place are enough to keep the country paying its creditors. The Greek government, meanwhile, is pleading for more slack, since, by its estimations, its squeezed population is about to go mad. What follows from there is a lose-lose scenario, not only for Europe and Greece, but for the hobbled global economy. The Wall Street Journal:

“It’s killing us,” says one Greek cabinet minister.

Athens can’t force through another round cuts to pay pensions and social services: “An angry population will take matters into its own hands, the government will collapse and we may end up with political crisis in a near-bankrupt euro-zone country which nobody will know how to control.”

The situation can only get worse, since nobody’s interests align. The Greeks want more time to meet their budget targets without having to make more cuts that would cause more public angst. The Germans, whose opinions arguably matter the most since they have the financial ammo, are already in a huff with German Chancellor Angela Merkel about expanding the eurozone’s bailout fund. More pushback from Greece about meeting its current austerity measures only fuels the fire. The ECB, meanwhile, is struggling to salvage its cherished reputation after vacuuming up billions of dollars in dodgy European sovereign debt, so more slack from its camp is also a tall order. And dinky Finland is making a fuss by demanding collateral for any more cash it forks over to Greece. Of course, normally Finland would be a sideshow in European matters big or small. But the fact that all 17 members of the eurozone have to agree to the terms of Greece’s next bailout (they already agreed to it in principle) before the funds are released makes the country a pretty effective spoiler. If the latest kerfuffle – the negotiations for which are set to resume in 10 days – leads to Greece not receiving its next tranche of bailout money, get ready to revisit the threat of financial meltdown. (As in, remember the market freak-out from a few weeks back?)

Of course, the one interest member countries share is preventing a messy breakup of the eurozone, which would wreck havoc on all their economies. But if pursuing that interest requires 17 leaders to risk political suicide in their home countries, you can bet your euros that economic havoc is sounding more appealing every day.

Read more: http://curiouscapitalist.blogs.time.com/2011/09/02/are-political-suicides-needed-to-save-greater-europe/#ixzz1X1pG7QqW

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